Regime
Late-cycle momentum with sector rotation accelerating. Post-holiday positioning driving flows
Bias
Selectively bullish on momentum leaders, avoid laggards. Quality over quantity approach
Best Setups
Financials breaking out, select commodity strength, crypto momentum plays
Avoid
Energy weakness, some Tech showing cracks, avoid averaging down in anything
high
4-6 weeks
8-10%
Breaking out to new 52-week highs at $55.89 with strong momentum. Financials leading market higher on rate environment clarity and strong earnings expectations
Catalyst: Banking earnings momentum, regulatory clarity, continued rate stability
Entry
$55.75-$56.00 on any pullback to breakout level
Invalidation: Close below $54.50 - breakdown of breakout
medium
3-4 weeks
6-8%
Healthcare sector showing relative strength, within 2% of 52-week highs. Defensive characteristics with growth potential in biotech/pharma
Catalyst: Q4 earnings, FDA approvals, demographic tailwinds
Invalidation: Break below $152 - sector rotation out of defensives
medium
3-5 weeks
5-7%
Showing weakness at $36.16, down -0.52% today on heavy volume. Breaking down from recent highs with poor relative strength vs semis
Catalyst: Continued market share loss, AI chip competition, foundry struggles
Entry
$36.00-$36.50 on any bounce
Invalidation: Break above $38.50 - reversal of downtrend
medium
2-4 weeks
6-8%
Strong momentum with +1.10% gain today to $197.49. Cloud transition accelerating, AI infrastructure demand driving growth
Catalyst: Cloud bookings growth, AI partnerships, enterprise digital transformation
Invalidation: Break below $190 - momentum failure
high
GLD ETF or Gold Futures
4-8 weeks
Breaking to new highs near $4545, up 0.94% with strong momentum. Global uncertainty, currency debasement driving demand
Entry
$4520-$4535 (GLD ~$452-453)
Key Levels: Support at $4500, resistance at $4600
speculative
USO ETF or CL Futures
3-6 weeks
Modest recovery from lows, showing some stabilization. Geopolitical risks and supply concerns could drive higher
Key Levels: Resistance at $60, support at $57
medium
2-4 weeks
8-12%
Showing strength at $89K, up 1.50% with solid volume. Institutional adoption continuing, potential ETF flows after holidays
On-Chain Signal: Exchange outflows suggesting accumulation phase
medium
3-5 weeks
6-10%
Strong momentum at $2974, up 1.26%. ETH/BTC ratio showing signs of strength, staking yields attractive
On-Chain Signal: Staking deposits increasing, reducing liquid supply
speculative
2-4 weeks
3-5%
Hyperliquid showing momentum surge +3.16% today, +9.06% weekly. DeFi innovation leader with strong ecosystem growth
On-Chain Signal: TVL growth in ecosystem, token utility expanding