Regime
Late-cycle bull market with AI momentum driving leadership
Bias
Cautiously bullish with momentum focus
Best Setups
AI/semiconductor breakouts, crypto momentum, materials strength
Avoid
Utilities showing weakness, Energy mixed signals, some mega-cap tech stalling
high
2-4 weeks
3-5%
Breaking above $190 with massive volume (140M+). Strong relative strength vs semis. AI momentum continues into 2025
Catalyst: Q4 earnings approaching, AI infrastructure build-out accelerating
Entry
$191-193 on pullback to breakout level
Target
$210-212 (prior high retest)
Stop
$185 (below breakout)
Invalidation: Close below $185 or semis sector breakdown
medium
4-8 weeks
2-3%
Massive volume breakout from $17-36 base. Strong relative strength vs AMD. Potential turnaround story gaining traction
Catalyst: Foundry strategy updates, potential government support
Target
$42-44 (52-week high area)
Invalidation: Break below $34 invalidates base breakout
medium
3-6 weeks
2%
Clean breakout from $82-94 range with strong volume. Password sharing crackdown driving subscriber growth
Catalyst: Q4 subscriber numbers, ad tier adoption
Invalidation: Back below $91 range resistance becomes resistance again
medium
4-6 weeks
2%
Failed to hold above $700, showing relative weakness vs QQQ. Heavy resistance at $800 area unlikely to break
Catalyst: Metaverse spending concerns, regulatory headwinds
Invalidation: Strong close above $700
high
Spot BTC or MSTR
2-4 weeks
Strong bounce from $85k support, momentum building into year-end. ETF flows accelerating
Key Levels: Support at $85k, resistance at $100k psychological
medium
USO ETF or CL futures
4-8 weeks
Breaking above $57 resistance, geopolitical tensions supporting. Demand expectations for 2025
Key Levels: $55 major support, $60 next resistance
medium
GLD puts or short futures
3-6 weeks
Failed at $4580 high, dollar strength resuming. Fed less dovish than expected
Key Levels: $4400 major support level to watch
high
3-6 weeks
3%
Strong momentum above $3000, outperforming BTC. ETF flows improving, staking yields attractive
On-Chain Signal: ETH staking ratios increasing, deflationary pressure
medium
4-8 weeks
2%
Holding $125+ support well, ecosystem growth accelerating. Memecoin mania benefits SOL
On-Chain Signal: DEX volume increasing, developer activity strong
speculative
2-4 weeks
1%
Privacy coin rally gaining momentum, up 22% this week. Technical breakout in progress
On-Chain Signal: Shielded transaction volume increasing