Regime
Mixed momentum - Tech under pressure but some sectors showing relative strength
Bias
Selective bullish - avoid weakness, ride strength. Sector rotation in progress
Best Setups
Enterprise software breakouts (CRM, ORCL), beaten down value with volume spikes (INTC), energy momentum
Avoid
Mega-cap tech showing distribution, anything breaking key support levels
high
4-8 weeks
3-4% portfolio
Breaking out from multi-week base at 52-week lows with +2.3% surge on heavy volume. Classic reversal breakout pattern with strong relative strength vs tech sector
Catalyst: Potential earnings beat next quarter, enterprise AI momentum, oversold bounce
Entry
$190-192 on any pullback to breakout level
Target
$220 (next resistance zone)
Stop
$182 (below breakout base)
Invalidation: Break back below $185 base support on heavy volume
high
3-6 weeks
3% portfolio
Strong +2.3% move with volume spike, showing relative strength vs weak tech. Oracle breaking above resistance with database/cloud momentum
Catalyst: AI database wins, cloud partnerships, earnings momentum
Entry
$161-163 on any early weakness
Target
$180-185 (gap fill target)
Stop
$154 (below recent support)
Invalidation: Tech sector breakdown drags it lower despite relative strength
medium
2-4 weeks
2% portfolio
Failed at $212 highs, now breaking down with massive volume. Leading indicator showing AI trade weakness
Catalyst: Earnings disappointment fears, China trade tensions, AI bubble concerns
Entry
$180-182 on any bounce
Target
$160-165 (next major support)
Stop
$190 (above breakdown level)
Invalidation: Reclaim $190 with conviction and hold
speculative
6-12 weeks
2% portfolio
Massive volume spike +0.67% while sitting near multi-year lows. Potential turnaround story with foundry business momentum
Catalyst: Foundry deals, government chips act funding, new CPU launches
Entry
$47-48 on continued strength
Target
$55-58 (technical resistance)
Invalidation: Break below $43 confirms continued decline
medium
USO ETF or CL futures
4-8 weeks
Breaking above $63 resistance with +0.73% move. Supply concerns and geopolitical tensions supporting
Target
$68-70 (next resistance cluster)
Stop
$61.50 (below recent range)
Key Levels: Resistance: $65, $68, $70 | Support: $62, $59
high
GLD ETF or GC futures
3-6 weeks
Major breakdown from $5046 with -2.4% plunge. Failed at key resistance, now accelerating lower
Entry
$4920-4940 on any bounce
Target
$4700-4750 (major support zone)
Stop
$5050 (above breakdown level)
Key Levels: Key breakdown: $5000 | Support: $4800, $4700
medium
3-6 weeks
2-3% allocation
Outperforming BTC with +0.86% vs BTC flat. Breaking above $1980 resistance with decent volume
On-Chain Signal: ETH/BTC ratio showing relative strength, staking rewards attracting capital
Entry
$1980-2000 on pullbacks
Target
$2200-2300 (next resistance zone)
Stop
$1900 (below recent support)
speculative
4-8 weeks
1-2% allocation
+2% move showing relative strength. Binance ecosystem benefits from crypto recovery
On-Chain Signal: Exchange volumes picking up, deflationary tokenomics supporting
Entry
$625-635 on strength
Target
$720-750 (major resistance)
Stop
$590 (below recent range)
medium
4-10 weeks
2% allocation
Solid +1.86% with momentum. Solana ecosystem showing development activity
On-Chain Signal: DEX volumes increasing, meme coin activity driving fees
Target
$110-120 (technical target)
Stop
$80 (key support level)