Regime
Sector rotation from tech to energy/commodities
Bias
Risk-off in tech, risk-on in commodities
Best Setups
Energy breakouts, tech breakdowns, crypto momentum
Avoid
Most big tech showing distribution
medium
4-8 weeks
3-4%
Breaking multi-month downtrend with strong volume. Only green tech stock today with momentum shift
Catalyst: Potential foundry business updates, AI chip partnerships
Entry
$45.90 on continued strength above today's high
Invalidation: Break below $43.00 with volume
high
3-6 weeks
4-5%
Energy showing relative strength, near 52-week highs. Oil breaking out
Catalyst: Oil supply concerns, energy earnings season
Entry
$57.80 on break of today's high
Invalidation: Oil breaks below $95 support
high
2-4 weeks
3-4%
Massive breakdown -7.6% on heavy volume, breaking key support
Catalyst: Earnings disappointment, AI disruption fears
Entry
$248.00 on any bounce to resistance
Invalidation: Reclaim $260 with volume
medium
3-5 weeks
2-3%
Heavy selling -3.8%, breaking below key moving averages
Catalyst: Regulatory concerns, metaverse spending issues
Entry
$610.00 on bounce to resistance
Invalidation: Close above $650
medium
3-6 weeks
3-4%
Breaking back above $71K with momentum, institutional flows returning
On-Chain Signal: Exchange outflows increasing, long-term holders accumulating
Entry
$71,800 on continued strength
high
2-4 weeks
2-3%
Explosive momentum +25% weekly, trending #6 globally
On-Chain Signal: High trading volume, social momentum building
high
4-8 weeks
3%
AI narrative heating up +46% weekly, breaking resistance
On-Chain Signal: Staking rewards increasing, validator growth
Entry
$260.00 on strength